Stephen A. Smith: Interview, Jul 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Stephen A. Smith say during NewsNation: Cuomo?
Markets
17 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 57%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knicks | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Messi | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ryan Clark | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World Cup | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| LeBron | No | 40%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ESPN | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
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