Will Zohran Mamdani say “Free Bus”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Free Bus” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 28, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. No keynotes among them yet.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 20¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Free Bus
- Probability
- 27% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Free Bus”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Free Bus” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 28, 2025.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Free Bus” next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Free Bus’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/free-bus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=free%20bus · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP