Will Wes Moore say “ICE / Border”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore said “ICE / Border” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (67%), most recently on Feb 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the 2 latest transcripts we have (3 episodes), it reached the market's count 1 time.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Wes Moore
ICE / Border
- Probability
- 55% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Latest transcripts
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | ICE / Border |  Kalshi | No |
| Feb 16, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 12, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Wes Moore say “ICE / Border”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore said “ICE / Border” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (67%), most recently on Feb 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Wes Moore says “ICE / Border” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Wes Moore: ‘ICE / Border’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/wes-moore/words/border-or-ice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=border%20%2F%20ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=wes-moore&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP