Will “Italian” be said at the next Political debates?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Italian” was said at the Political debates on 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 4, 2025 (33%), most recently on Oct 23, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

55%from settlement history only · n=3counts: any candidate
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
any candidate
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Political debates

Italian

Probability
55% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)

Next listing counts: any candidate

We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the candidates say during Iowa Governor debate? · not listed

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What will the candidates say during the Georgia Senate debate? · not listed

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What will the candidates say during Georgia Senate debate? · not listed

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What will the candidates say during Michigan Senate debate? · not listed

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What will the candidates say during Pennsylvania Governor's Debate? · not listed

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What will the candidates say during Iowa Senate debate? · not listed

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What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate? · not listed

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What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · not listed

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What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · not listed

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What will the candidates say during the SC Republican Senate Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 23, 2025ItalianKalshiYes
Oct 16, 2025ItalianKalshiNo
Jun 4, 2025ItalianPolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “Italian” said at the Political debates?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Italian” was said at the Political debates on 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 4, 2025 (33%), most recently on Oct 23, 2025.
What is the probability “Italian” is said at the Political debates next time?
55%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any candidate.

Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Italian’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/italian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=italian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP