Will “Economy / Economic” be said at the next Political debates?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Economy / Economic” was said at the Political debates on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Feb 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 70% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

70%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Political debates

Economy / Economic

Probability
70% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the candidates say during Iowa Governor debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Georgia Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Georgia Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Michigan Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Pennsylvania Governor's Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Iowa Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the SC Republican Senate Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 20, 2026Economy / EconomicKalshiYes
Jan 27, 2026Economy / EconomicKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Economy / Economic” said at the Political debates?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Economy / Economic” was said at the Political debates on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Feb 20, 2026.
What is the probability “Economy / Economic” is said at the Political debates next time?
70%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Economy / Economic’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/economic-or-economy (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=economic%20%2F%20economy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP