Will “Woke / DEI” be said at the next Political debates?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Woke / DEI” was said at the Political debates on 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

47%from settlement history only · n=3counts: any candidate
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
any candidate
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Political debates

Woke / DEI

Probability
47% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)

Next listing counts: any candidate

We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the candidates say during Iowa Governor debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Georgia Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Georgia Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Michigan Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Pennsylvania Governor's Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Iowa Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the SC Republican Senate Debate? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 3, 2026Woke / DEIKalshiNo
Apr 1, 2026Woke / DEIKalshiNo
Feb 18, 2026Woke / DEIKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Woke / DEI” said at the Political debates?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Woke / DEI” was said at the Political debates on 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 18, 2026.
What is the probability “Woke / DEI” is said at the Political debates next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any candidate.

Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Woke / DEI’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/dei-or-woke (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=dei%20%2F%20woke · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP