Will “Black Lives Matter / BLM” be said at the next Political debates?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Black Lives Matter / BLM” was not said at the Political debates on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 4, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- any candidate
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Political debates
Black Lives Matter / BLM
- Probability
- 49% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: any candidate
We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2025 | Black Lives Matter / BLM |  Kalshi | No |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Black Lives Matter / BLM | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Black Lives Matter / BLM” said at the Political debates?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Black Lives Matter / BLM” was not said at the Political debates on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 4, 2025.
- What is the probability “Black Lives Matter / BLM” is said at the Political debates next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any candidate.
Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Black Lives Matter / BLM’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/black-lives-matter-or-blm (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=black%20lives%20matter%20%2F%20blm · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP