Mike Pence

Politics · Other officials & figuresPersonHistory onlyUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 20:42 UTC

Export

Copy

---

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnarOpen as Markdowntable

GET /api/v1/entity/mike-pence

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 60 word markets on Mike Pence’s appearances since 2026, on 32 different words.

History Wall

1–33 of 33, most settled first

Mike Pence: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Mar 8episode	Apr 23interview	May 31episode	Jun 15latest	Last 4	Settled	Probability
Israel / Israeli	YSettled yes: Israel / Israeli, Mar 8 episode	NSettled no: Israel / Israeli, Apr 23 interview	YSettled yes: Israel / Israeli, May 31 episode	YSettled yes: Israel / Israeli, Jun 15 panel	3/475%	3/475%	51%n=2 from settlement history
Democrat	NSettled no: Democrat, Mar 8 episode	NSettled no: Democrat, Apr 23 interview	YSettled yes: Democrat, May 31 episode	YSettled yes: Democrat, Jun 15 panel	2/450%	2/450%	51%n=2 from settlement history
Election	NSettled no: Election, Mar 8 episode	YSettled yes: Election, Apr 23 interview	YSettled yes: Election, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Election, Jun 15 panel	2/367%	2/367%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Trump	YSettled yes: Trump, Mar 8 episode	NSettled no: Trump, Apr 23 interview	YSettled yes: Trump, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Trump, Jun 15 panel	2/367%	2/367%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
AI / Artificial Intelligence	–Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 8 episode	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 23 interview	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, May 31 episode	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 15 panel	1/333%	1/333%	51%n=2 from settlement history
ICE / Border	NSettled no: ICE / Border, Mar 8 episode	NSettled no: ICE / Border, Apr 23 interview	YSettled yes: ICE / Border, May 31 episode	–Not listed: ICE / Border, Jun 15 panel	1/333%	1/333%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Terrorist / Terrorism	YSettled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 8 episode	NSettled no: Terrorist / Terrorism, Apr 23 interview	NSettled no: Terrorist / Terrorism, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jun 15 panel	1/333%	1/333%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Ceasefire	–Not listed: Ceasefire, Mar 8 episode	NSettled no: Ceasefire, Apr 23 interview	NSettled no: Ceasefire, May 31 episode	NSettled no: Ceasefire, Jun 15 panel	0/30%	0/30%	34%n=2 from settlement history
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 8 episode	NSettled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 23 interview	NSettled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 31 episode	NSettled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 15 panel	0/30%	0/30%	34%n=2 from settlement history
National Security	NSettled no: National Security, Mar 8 episode	NSettled no: National Security, Apr 23 interview	NSettled no: National Security, May 31 episode	–Not listed: National Security, Jun 15 panel	0/30%	0/30%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Iran / Iranian	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 8 episode	YSettled yes: Iran / Iranian, Apr 23 interview	YSettled yes: Iran / Iranian, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 15 panel	2/2100%	2/2100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Tariff	NSettled no: Tariff, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: Tariff, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: Tariff, May 31 episode	YSettled yes: Tariff, Jun 15 panel	1/250%	1/250%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Fraud	–Not listed: Fraud, Mar 8 episode	NSettled no: Fraud, Apr 23 interview	NSettled no: Fraud, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Fraud, Jun 15 panel	0/20%	0/20%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Healthcare	–Not listed: Healthcare, Mar 8 episode	NSettled no: Healthcare, Apr 23 interview	NSettled no: Healthcare, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Healthcare, Jun 15 panel	0/20%	0/20%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Nuclear	–Not listed: Nuclear, Mar 8 episode	NSettled no: Nuclear, Apr 23 interview	NSettled no: Nuclear, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 15 panel	0/20%	0/20%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
2028 / Campaign	–Not listed: 2028 / Campaign, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: 2028 / Campaign, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: 2028 / Campaign, May 31 episode	YSettled yes: 2028 / Campaign, Jun 15 panel	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	–Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, May 31 episode	YSettled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 15 panel	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Biden	–Not listed: Biden, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: Biden, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: Biden, May 31 episode	YSettled yes: Biden, Jun 15 panel	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Common Sense	–Not listed: Common Sense, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: Common Sense, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: Common Sense, May 31 episode	YSettled yes: Common Sense, Jun 15 panel	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Epic Fury	YSettled yes: Epic Fury, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: Epic Fury, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: Epic Fury, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Epic Fury, Jun 15 panel	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Iran	YSettled yes: Iran, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: Iran, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: Iran, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Iran, Jun 15 panel	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Midterm	–Not listed: Midterm, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: Midterm, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: Midterm, May 31 episode	YSettled yes: Midterm, Jun 15 panel	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Trump3+ times	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), May 31 episode	YSettled yes: Trump (3+ times), Jun 15 panel	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Ukraine / Ukrainian	–Not listed: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: Ukraine / Ukrainian, May 31 episode	YSettled yes: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Jun 15 panel	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
America First	–Not listed: America First, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: America First, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: America First, May 31 episode	NSettled no: America First, Jun 15 panel	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
China / Chinese	–Not listed: China / Chinese, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: China / Chinese, Apr 23 interview	NSettled no: China / Chinese, May 31 episode	–Not listed: China / Chinese, Jun 15 panel	0/10%	0/10%	–
ICE / DHS	–Not listed: ICE / DHS, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: ICE / DHS, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: ICE / DHS, May 31 episode	NSettled no: ICE / DHS, Jun 15 panel	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Hormuz / Oil	NSettled no: Hormuz / Oil, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: Hormuz / Oil, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: Hormuz / Oil, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Hormuz / Oil, Jun 15 panel	0/10%	0/10%	–
January 6 / J6	–Not listed: January 6 / J6, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: January 6 / J6, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: January 6 / J6, May 31 episode	NSettled no: January 6 / J6, Jun 15 panel	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Kristi / Noem	NSettled no: Kristi / Noem, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: Kristi / Noem, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jun 15 panel	0/10%	0/10%	–
Planned Parenthood	–Not listed: Planned Parenthood, Mar 8 episode	NSettled no: Planned Parenthood, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: Planned Parenthood, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Planned Parenthood, Jun 15 panel	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
RINO	–Not listed: RINO, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: RINO, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: RINO, May 31 episode	NSettled no: RINO, Jun 15 panel	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Shutdown / Shut Down	NSettled no: Shutdown / Shut Down, Mar 8 episode	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Apr 23 interview	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 15 panel	0/10%	0/10%	–

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Mike Pence: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-pence (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/mike-pence · words: /api/v1/history?entity=mike-pence · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP