Mike Pence: Interview, Apr 23, 2026
Kalshi What will Mike Pence say during his MS NOW interview?
Markets
15 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Election | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ceasefire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / Border | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Security | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Planned Parenthood | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP