Will Mike Pence say “America First”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Mike Pence did not say “America First” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 15, 2026.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mike Pence
America First
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Mike Pence yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2026 | America First |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Mike Pence say “America First”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Mike Pence did not say “America First” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Mike Pence says “America First” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Pence: ‘America First’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-pence/words/america-first (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-pence&word=america%20first · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-pence&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP