Will Mike Pence say “Terrorist / Terrorism”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Mike Pence said “Terrorist / Terrorism” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 8, 2026 (33%), most recently on Mar 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mike Pence
Terrorist / Terrorism
- Probability
- 32% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Mike Pence yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Mike Pence say “Terrorist / Terrorism”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Mike Pence said “Terrorist / Terrorism” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 8, 2026 (33%), most recently on Mar 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Mike Pence says “Terrorist / Terrorism” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Pence: ‘Terrorist / Terrorism’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-pence/words/terrorism-or-terrorist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-pence&word=terrorism%20%2F%20terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-pence&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP