Will Mark Kelly say “Healthcare”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Kelly said “Healthcare” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 17, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 14, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

55%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=mark-kelly&word=healthcare

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mark Kelly

Healthcare

Probability
55% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last 3 episodes
said in 2 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Mark Kelly say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not said

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What will Mark Kelly say during The Weeknight? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Mark Kellyguest47:08In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled no

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What will Mark Kelly say during his MS NOW interview? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mark Kelly say during Semafor World Economy 2026? · not listed

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What will Mark Kelly say during his MS NOW interview? · not listed

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What will Mark Kelly say during his MS NOW interview? · not listed

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What will Senator Mark Kelly say during Jimmy Kimmel Live!? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 14, 2026HealthcareKalshiNo0
Sep 29, 2026HealthcareKalshiYes1
Jul 15, 2026HealthcareKalshiNo–
Jun 17, 2026HealthcareKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Mark Kelly say “Healthcare”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Kelly said “Healthcare” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 17, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026.
What is the probability Mark Kelly says “Healthcare” next time?
55%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Kelly: ‘Healthcare’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mark-kelly/words/healthcare (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-kelly&word=healthcare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-kelly&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP