Mark Kelly: Interview, Mar 11, 2026
Kalshi What will Mark Kelly say during his MS NOW interview?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Missile | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gas Tax / Relief Act | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hegseth | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / DHS | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kristi / Noem | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMENTION-KELL26MAR10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP