Will Mark Kelly say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Kelly said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 14, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

43%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=mark-kelly&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mark Kelly

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Probability
43% · n=6
Settled
2/6 (33%)
Last 3 episodes
said in 1 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Mark Kelly say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not said

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What will Mark Kelly say during The Weeknight? · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

4 counted; 17 by speakers the rule does not count.

Mark Kellyguest38:39In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Mark Kellyguest39:05In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

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What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled no

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What will Mark Kelly say during his MS NOW interview? · settled no

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What will Mark Kelly say during Semafor World Economy 2026? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mark Kelly say during his MS NOW interview? · not listed

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What will Mark Kelly say during his MS NOW interview? · not listed

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What will Senator Mark Kelly say during Jimmy Kimmel Live!? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 14, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo0
Sep 29, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes4
Sep 21, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo0
Jul 15, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Jun 17, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo–
Apr 15, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Mark Kelly say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Kelly said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026.
What is the probability Mark Kelly says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Kelly: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mark-kelly/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-kelly&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-kelly&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP