Will Mark Kelly say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Kelly said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (43%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 14, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 3/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mark Kelly
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- Probability
- 44% · n=7
- Settled
- 3/7 (43%)
- Last 3 episodes
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Mark Kelly say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Kelly said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (43%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Mark Kelly says “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Kelly: ‘Afford / Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mark-kelly/words/afford-or-affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-kelly&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-kelly&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP