Will Marco Rubio say “Trump”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Marco Rubio said “Trump” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 29, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; May 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Jan 28, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Marco Rubio
Trump
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…of Hormuz and this critical artery of global trade. And so President Trump, as he always does, stepped up and answered the calls for their…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | Trump |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Marco Rubio say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Marco Rubio said “Trump” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Marco Rubio says “Trump” next time?
- 67%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Marco Rubio: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/marco-rubio/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=marco-rubio&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=marco-rubio&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP