Will Marco Rubio say “Election”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Marco Rubio said “Election” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 29, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 67% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; May 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Marco Rubio
Election
- Probability
- 67% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…if I get to Colombia today. Go ahead. You guys have an election. Why don't you wait till after the election? Go ahead. Yes, sir.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Marco Rubio say “Election”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Marco Rubio said “Election” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 29, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 11, 2026.
- What is the probability Marco Rubio says “Election” next time?
- 67%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Marco Rubio: ‘Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/marco-rubio/words/election (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=marco-rubio&word=election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=marco-rubio&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP