Will Kathy Hochul say “Upstate / Up State”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Upstate / Up State” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kathy Hochul
Upstate / Up State
- Probability
- 56% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | Upstate / Up State |  Kalshi | No |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Upstate / Up State | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kathy Hochul say “Upstate / Up State”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Upstate / Up State” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Upstate / Up State” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Upstate / Up State’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/up-state-or-upstate (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=up%20state%20%2F%20upstate · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP