Will Kathy Hochul say “Supreme Court”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Supreme Court” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 26, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

47%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kathy Hochul

Supreme Court

Probability
47% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 3, 2026Supreme CourtKalshiNo
Feb 26, 2026Supreme CourtKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Kathy Hochul say “Supreme Court”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Supreme Court” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 26, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 26, 2026.
What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Supreme Court” next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Supreme Court’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/supreme-court (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=supreme%20court · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP