Will Kathy Hochul say “Subway / MTA”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Subway / MTA” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

69%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kathy Hochul

Subway / MTA

Probability
69% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jan 21, 2026Subway / MTAKalshiYes
Jan 14, 2026Subway / MTAKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Kathy Hochul say “Subway / MTA”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Subway / MTA” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026.
What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Subway / MTA” next time?
69%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Subway / MTA’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/mta-or-subway (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=mta%20%2F%20subway · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP