Will Kathy Hochul say “Crime”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Crime” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

69%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kathy Hochul

Crime

Probability
69% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jan 21, 2026CrimeKalshiYes
Jan 14, 2026CrimeKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Kathy Hochul say “Crime”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Crime” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026.
What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Crime” next time?
69%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Crime’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/crime (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=crime · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP