Will Jon Ossoff say “Fraud”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jon Ossoff did not say “Fraud” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 7 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 14, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
33%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jon Ossoff
Fraud
- Probability
- 33% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 7 episodes
- said in 0 of 7
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Jon Ossoff say “Fraud”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jon Ossoff did not say “Fraud” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 11, 2026.
- What is the probability Jon Ossoff says “Fraud” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jon Ossoff: ‘Fraud’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jon-ossoff/words/fraud (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jon-ossoff&word=fraud · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jon-ossoff&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP