Will Joe Biden say “Trump”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Joe Biden said “Trump” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 24, 2024 (50%), most recently on Feb 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
42%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 4/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Joe Biden
Trump
- Probability
- 42% · n=8
- Settled
- 4/8 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Joe Biden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Joe Biden say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Joe Biden said “Trump” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 24, 2024 (50%), most recently on Feb 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Joe Biden says “Trump” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Joe Biden: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/joe-biden/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=joe-biden&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=joe-biden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP