Will Joe Biden say “Republican”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Joe Biden said “Republican” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 7, 2025 (75%), most recently on Apr 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
48%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Joe Biden
Republican
- Probability
- 48% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Joe Biden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Republican |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Republican |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Joe Biden say “Republican”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Joe Biden said “Republican” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 7, 2025 (75%), most recently on Apr 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Joe Biden says “Republican” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Joe Biden: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/joe-biden/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=joe-biden&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=joe-biden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP