Will Joe Biden say “Putin”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Joe Biden said “Putin” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 15, 2025 (25%), most recently on May 8, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
31%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceJoe Biden
Putin
- Probability
- 31% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Joe Biden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shownQuestions
- How often does Joe Biden say “Putin”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Joe Biden said “Putin” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 15, 2025 (25%), most recently on May 8, 2025.
- What is the probability Joe Biden says “Putin” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Joe Biden: ‘Putin’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/joe-biden/words/putin (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=joe-biden&word=putin · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=joe-biden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP