Will Hakeem Jeffries say “Kristi / Noem”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Kristi / Noem” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 15, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Feb 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceHakeem Jeffries
Kristi / Noem
- Probability
- 37% · n=6
- Settled
- 3/6 (50%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…criminally prosecute anyone who has violated the law, because we cannot trust Kristi Noem or Pam Bondi to conduct an independent investigation. We believe that…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | Kristi / Noem | No | – | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Kristi / Noem | No | – | |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Kristi / Noem | Yes | – | |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Kristi / Noem | Yes | – | |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Kristi / Noem | Yes | 2 | |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Kristi / Noem | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Hakeem Jeffries say “Kristi / Noem”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Kristi / Noem” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 15, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 8, 2026.
- What is the probability Hakeem Jeffries says “Kristi / Noem” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Hakeem Jeffries: ‘Kristi / Noem’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/hakeem-jeffries/words/kristi-or-noem (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=kristi%20%2F%20noem · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP