Will Hakeem Jeffries say “ICE / Border”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “ICE / Border” at 7 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Feb 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 7/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 7 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Hakeem Jeffries
ICE / Border
- Probability
- 72% · n=7
- Settled
- 7/7 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and Alex Pretti. We know and the American people clearly know that ICE is totally out of control and they need to be reined in,…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | ICE / Border |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 19, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 9, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 20, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 16, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Hakeem Jeffries say “ICE / Border”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “ICE / Border” at 7 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Hakeem Jeffries says “ICE / Border” next time?
- 72%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Hakeem Jeffries: ‘ICE / Border’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/hakeem-jeffries/words/border-or-ice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=border%20%2F%20ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP