Will Cory Booker say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Cory Booker said “Shutdown / Shut Down” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 16, 2026 (25%), most recently on Mar 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 15, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Cory Booker
Shutdown / Shut Down
- Probability
- 31% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down |  Kalshi | No |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Cory Booker say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Cory Booker said “Shutdown / Shut Down” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 16, 2026 (25%), most recently on Mar 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Cory Booker says “Shutdown / Shut Down” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Cory Booker: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/cory-booker/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=cory-booker&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=cory-booker&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP