Will Bernie Sanders say “Supreme Court”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Supreme Court” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 21, 2026 (75%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 64% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Bernie Sanders
Supreme Court
- Probability
- 64% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Supreme Court |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Supreme Court |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Supreme Court | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Supreme Court | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Supreme Court | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Bernie Sanders say “Supreme Court”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Supreme Court” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 21, 2026 (75%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Supreme Court” next time?
- 64%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Supreme Court’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/supreme-court (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=supreme%20court · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP