Will Bernie Sanders say “Graham / Platner”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Graham / Platner” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 26, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Bernie Sanders
Graham / Platner
- Probability
- 38% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Graham / Platner |  Kalshi | No |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Graham / Platner | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Graham / Platner | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Bernie Sanders say “Graham / Platner”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Graham / Platner” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 26, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Graham / Platner” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Graham / Platner’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/graham-or-platner (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=graham%20%2F%20platner · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP