Will Bernie Sanders say “Gaza”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Gaza” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 1, 2025 (80%), most recently on May 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Bernie Sanders
Gaza
- Probability
- 60% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Bernie Sanders say “Gaza”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Gaza” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 1, 2025 (80%), most recently on May 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Gaza” next time?
- 60%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Gaza’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/gaza (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=gaza · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP