Will “Iran” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Iran” was said on Lemonade Stand in 3 of 4 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (75%), most recently on Jun 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 65% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 5.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
- Market
- 26¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
Iran
- Probability
- 65% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Ukraine. And so for them to get even 300,000 tons out is something. And there's unconfirmed reports that some of it is imported from Iran.
…And then you top it off with the rising fuel costs from the war in Iran. So you have a place that like all the
…say in other cases like, yeah, I'm part of this group in Iran. We're like a we're like a we're part of a military resistance.
…know there's a general sentiment that like the, because of like the Iran war and like economic instability or inflation, people want access to cash…
But if they did, it would be a whole different, even the Iran war, like Congress can pass a thing that this needs to stop,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Iran” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Iran” was said on Lemonade Stand in 3 of 4 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (75%), most recently on Jun 17, 2026.
- What is the probability “Iran” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 65%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP