Lemonade Stand: Episode, Apr 29, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (April 29)
Markets
24 words · 13 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actually | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Atrioc | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crazy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Honestly | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Housing | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Patreon | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Right | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sweden | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Table | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Amortization | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Arbitrage | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bernie / Sanders | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Collateral | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Economy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Federal Reserve | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fiduciary | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Joe / Biden | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jurisprudence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-lemonade-stand-podcast-april-29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP