Lemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 16, 2026

Name: Lemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 16, 2026
Start: 2026-09-16

Wed, Sep 16EpisodeMachine transcriptLemonade Stand

On the Sep 16, 2026 episode of Lemonade Stand, 3 of the 8 words Polymarket listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 8 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 01:36 UTC

Markets

8 words · 3 settled yes · our count agreed on 8 of 8

Polymarket: anyone Polymarket

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
Word	Result	Our count	All speakers	Agrees	Probability	Market
Money	Yes	60	60	✓	88%n=9 from settlement history	–
Red	Yes	6	6	✓	63%n=12 from settlement history	–
Japan	Yes	1	1	✓	54%n=2 from settlement history	–
AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times	No	1	1	✓	65%n=4 from settlement history	–
China / Chinese	No	0	0	✓	90%n=11 from settlement history	–
Trump 10+ times	No	0	0	✓	65%n=4 from settlement history	–
Blue	No	0	0	✓	56%n=12 from settlement history	–
Experimental	No	0	0	✓	27%n=4 from settlement history	–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Machine transcript · Lemonade Stand podcast audio (Vox Media), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Machine-attributed. Speaker turns are labelled by a model, not the publisher.

Where the listed words were said

Speaker not labelled“Money” · 5:36

…Because, you know, the United States, I live here 20 years, so I know how it works here. It just works if everybody makes money.

Speaker not labelled“Red” · 5:55

…the bottom end, there needs to be a black figure, not a red one, you know? And I think Bernie never got that one across,…

Speaker not labelled“Japan” · 49:05

…you can see the front wheel lifting. This is like a Shinkansen in Japan, but you just have no windshield, and you're on a bike.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/lemonade-stand:2026-09-16:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=lemonade-stand:2026-09-16:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP