Lemonade Stand: Episode, Jun 17, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (June 17)
Markets
20 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran | Yes | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AI 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| IPO | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Weather | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Blue State | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| California | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hormuz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knicks | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Policy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Red State | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Riot | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Siri | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Spurs | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Texas | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UFC | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World Cup | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-lemonade-stand-podcast-june-17-20260611135654931 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP