Will Candace Owens say “Fraud”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Candace Owens said “Fraud” at 4 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.

36%from settlement history only · n=12counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no yes no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=candace-owens&word=fraud

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Candace Owens

Fraud

Probability
36% · n=12
Settled
4/12 (33%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Candace Owens yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Candace Owens say during her show? · settled no

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What will Candace Owens and Hunter Biden say on Thursday? · not listed

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What will Candace Owens say during her livestream? · settled yes

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What will Candace Owens say during her livestream? · settled no

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What will Candace Owens say during her livestream? · settled no

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What will Candace Owens say during her livestream? · settled yes

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What will Candace Owens say during her livestream? · settled no

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What will Candace Owens say during her livestream? · settled yes

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What will Candace Owens say during her livestream? · settled no

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What will Candace Owens say during her livestream? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 12 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 27, 2026FraudKalshiNo
May 18, 2026FraudKalshiYes
May 13, 2026FraudKalshiNo
May 12, 2026FraudKalshiNo
May 11, 2026FraudKalshiYes
May 7, 2026FraudKalshiNo
May 6, 2026FraudKalshiYes
May 1, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Apr 23, 2026FraudKalshiYes
Apr 21, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Apr 20, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Apr 15, 2026FraudKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Candace Owens say “Fraud”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Candace Owens said “Fraud” at 4 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 18, 2026.
What is the probability Candace Owens says “Fraud” next time?
36%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Candace Owens: ‘Fraud’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/candace-owens/words/fraud (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=candace-owens&word=fraud · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=candace-owens&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP