Candace Owens: Episode, May 27, 2026

Wed, May 27EpisodeHistory onlyCandace Owens

Updated

Markets

15 words · 8 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Israel / Israeli Yes67%n=9 from settlement history–
Iran / Iranian Yes62%n=2 from settlement history–
Epstein Yes59%n=7 from settlement history–
Propaganda Yes45%n=11 from settlement history–
Massie Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Nuclear Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Bibi / Netanyahu Yes44%n=9 from settlement history–
Conspiracy Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No62%n=10 from settlement history–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline No52%n=7 from settlement history–
Ballroom No47%n=4 from settlement history–
Hunter / Biden No–new new word, no probability yet–
MAGA / Make America Great Again No39%n=8 from settlement history–
Fraud No38%n=11 from settlement history–
America First No30%n=5 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCANDACEMENTION-26MAY27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP