Candace Owens: Episode, May 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Candace Owens say during her livestream?
Markets
15 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erika 5+ times | Yes | 78%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | 61%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 55%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 52%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Propaganda | Yes | 43%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shirley | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zionist | Yes | 40%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Fuentes | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | 47%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | 42%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 36%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 20%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCANDACEMENTION-26MAY13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP