Candace Owens: Episode, Apr 15, 2026
Kalshi What will Candace Owens say during her livestream?
Markets
25 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bibi / Netanyahu | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Grocery | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Doctor | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zionist | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| America First | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Low IQ | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Propaganda | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Radical Left | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Rescue / Rescued | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tucker | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Abortion | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gas / Gasoline | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hegseth | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pope | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ceasefire | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hormuz | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Melania | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCANDACEMENTION-26APR15B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP