Candace Owens: Appearance, May 21, 2026
Polymarket What will Candace Owens and Hunter Biden say on Thursday?
Markets
17 words · 11 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epstein | Yes | 52%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Charlie / Kirk 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crack / Cocaine 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drug | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Father 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FBI | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Laptop | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Million / Billion 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cash | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Covid | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pardon | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Putin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Six Seven | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-candace-owens-and-hunter-biden-say-on-thursday · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP