What is the probability Candace Owens says “America First” next time?

27%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Candace Owens say “America First”?

Name: Candace Owens: “America First” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Candace Owens said “America First” at 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 10, 2026 (17%), most recently on Apr 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

27%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no
Streak: not said the last 5 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 00:15 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Candace Owens

America First

Probability: 27% · n=6
Settled: 1/6 (17%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Candace Owens yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Candace Owens say during her show? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Candace Owens and Hunter Biden say on Thursday? · not listed

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What will Candace Owens say during her livestream? · settled no

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