Will “Iran” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Iran” was said on All-In Podcast in 3 of 5 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2026 (60%), most recently on Mar 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 1.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Iran
- Probability
- 55% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 1 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…it i mean i think the country's so pissed off about the Iran war that it's just going to naturally go to him, but maybe.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Iran” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Iran” was said on All-In Podcast in 3 of 5 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2026 (60%), most recently on Mar 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “Iran” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP