ABC World News Tonight, September 28, 2026
On the Sep 28, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 6 of the 16 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX / Starship | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 56%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Nor'easter | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese / Xi | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 57%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 68%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 66%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| UN / United Nations | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 63%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 49%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Pope / Vatican | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Central Park | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Steel | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Taylor Swift / Madonna | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Boeing / FAA | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Nvidia | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
For the first time, SpaceX launching Starship into orbit around Earth. What they pulled off, you'll see it before it's fiery splashdown. The urgent manhunt…
…a British military base used by the U.S. in this war with Iran. The witness, who says she spotted a group of hooded masked men…
Now on Disney Plus every night. Tonight, the deadly nor'easter. A man killed a shark swimming across a flooded street. Tonight, the flooding and damage…
…this week. David, Trevor Alt reporting. Trevor, thanks. Overseas tonight, the alarming terror arrests involving a military base in the UK used by the US…
…Atlanta. Two new giant pandas are now calling Zoo Atlanta home. They're on loan from China. The pair are named Ping Ping and Fu Shuang.
…Land, comes out tomorrow. In the meantime, the dramatic images from the war in Ukraine tonight. Russia launching an advanced jet-powered drone attack in Kyiv.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-09-28:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-09-28:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP