Will “FBI” be said on The Last Word next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “FBI” was said on The Last Word in 3 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (60%), most recently on Feb 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

39%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

FBI

Probability
39% · n=5
Settled
3/5 (60%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Jon OssoffguestThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), September 30, 2026 · Sep 30, 2026 · 20:19In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Sherrod Brown say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 5, 2026FBIKalshiNo
Apr 2, 2026FBIKalshiNo
Feb 26, 2026FBIKalshiYes
Feb 17, 2026FBIKalshiYes
Feb 11, 2026FBIKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “FBI” said on The Last Word?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “FBI” was said on The Last Word in 3 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (60%), most recently on Feb 26, 2026.
What is the probability “FBI” is said on The Last Word next time?
39%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘FBI’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/fbi (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=fbi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP