Will “Unconstitutional / Constitution” be said on The Briefing next time?
As of Oct 23, 2026, “Unconstitutional / Constitution” was said on The Briefing in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 7, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jan 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Briefing with Jen Psaki
Unconstitutional / Constitution
- Probability
- 46% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Unconstitutional / Constitution |  Kalshi | No |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Constitution / Unconstitutional | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Constitution / Unconstitutional | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Unconstitutional / Constitution” said on The Briefing?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, “Unconstitutional / Constitution” was said on The Briefing in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 7, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jan 7, 2026.
- What is the probability “Unconstitutional / Constitution” is said on The Briefing next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Briefing: ‘Unconstitutional / Constitution’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki/words/constitution-or-unconstitutional (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=constitution%20%2F%20unconstitutional · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP