The New York Times (front page): Front page, May 10, 2026
Polymarket What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)
Markets
26 words · 11 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| China | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Intelligence | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Beijing | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| California | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Center | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Court | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Congress | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fed | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gay | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gunman | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| JD / Vance | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MAGA | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pentagon | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Polymarket | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Prediction | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Secret | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Street | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UFO / Alien | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Vance | open | – | 62¢ Polymarket |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-the-nyt-front-page-headlines-say-this-week-may-4-may-10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP