Will “House” appear on the next NYT front page?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “House” appeared on the NYT front page on 2 of 4 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 6.

45%from settlement history only · n=4counts: anyone
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
anyone
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=house

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The New York Times (front page)

House

Probability
45% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last 8 front pages
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Monday, October 12otherNYT front-page headlines, October 12–18, 2026 · Oct 18, 2026In transcript

Inside the Crisis Response At Cornell’s Chi Phi House

Sunday, October 11otherNYT front-page headlines, October 5–11, 2026 · Oct 11, 2026In transcript

…put your head on a swivel. I didn’t go to leave the house at the same time of day and didn’t take the same route…

Wednesday, September 23otherNYT front-page headlines, September 21–27, 2026 · Sep 27, 2026In transcript

A.I. Party House Nightmares

Thursday, September 17otherNYT front-page headlines, September 14–20, 2026 · Sep 20, 2026In transcript

Sounds of a Dream House

Friday, September 4otherNYT front-page headlines, August 31–September 6, 2026 · Sep 6, 2026In transcript

‘Lightning Speed’ of the White House Is Outrunning the Courts

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 5 - October 11) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 7 - September 13) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 31 - September 6) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 17 - August 23) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 10 - August 16) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 26, 2026HousePolymarketNo
Jul 19, 2026HousePolymarketYes
Jul 12, 2026HousePolymarketYes
Jul 5, 2026HousePolymarketNo

Questions

How often does “House” appear on the NYT front page?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “House” appeared on the NYT front page on 2 of 4 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 13, 2026.
What is the probability “House” appears on the NYT front page next time?
45%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘House’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/house (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=house · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP