Will “Hormuz” appear on the next NYT front page?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Hormuz” did not appear on the NYT front page on any of the 4 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 0.
39%from settlement history only · n=4counts: anyone
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- anyone
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceThe New York Times (front page)
Hormuz
- Probability
- 39% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 8 front pages
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does “Hormuz” appear on the NYT front page?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Hormuz” did not appear on the NYT front page on any of the 4 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Hormuz” appears on the NYT front page next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘Hormuz’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/hormuz (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=hormuz · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP