Will “Oil / Gas” appear on the next NYT front page?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Oil / Gas” appeared on the NYT front page on 3 of 4 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (75%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Sep 6, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 6.
49%from settlement history only · n=4counts: anyone
Last 10
3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes
How often does “Oil / Gas” appear on the NYT front page?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Oil / Gas” appeared on the NYT front page on 3 of 4 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (75%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026.
What is the probability “Oil / Gas” appears on the NYT front page next time?
49%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Citeparrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘Oil / Gas’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/gas-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)
Polymarket