Taylor Swift
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 177 word markets on Taylor Swift’s appearances since 2025, on 78 different words; most reliably said: “Tour” (6 of 6).
History Wall
1–40 of 84, most settled first · page 1 of 2| Word | Aug 13 ’25episode | Oct 6episode | Oct 8episode | Oct 9episode | Oct 14interview | Dec 10episode | Dec 11latest | Last 7 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tourevery time | Settled yes: Tour, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Tour, Oct 6 episode | Settled yes: Tour, Oct 8 episode | Settled yes: Tour, Oct 9 episode | Settled yes: Tour, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Tour, Dec 10 episode | Settled yes: Tour, Dec 11 episode | 6/6100% | 6/6100% | 70%n=6 from settlement history |
| Poet | Settled yes: Poet, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Poet, Oct 6 episode | Settled no: Poet, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Poet, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Poet, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Poet, Dec 10 episode | Settled no: Poet, Dec 11 episode | 2/633% | 2/633% | 25%n=6 from settlement history |
| Trumpnever said | Settled no: Trump, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Trump, Oct 6 episode | Settled no: Trump, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Trump, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Trump, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Trump, Dec 10 episode | Settled no: Trump, Dec 11 episode | 0/60% | 0/60% | 14%n=6 from settlement history |
| Eraevery time | Settled yes: Era, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Era, Oct 6 episode | Settled yes: Era, Oct 8 episode | Settled yes: Era, Oct 9 episode | Settled yes: Era, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Era, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Era, Dec 11 episode | 5/5100% | 5/5100% | 63%n=5 from settlement history |
| The Life of a Showgirl | Not listed: The Life of a Showgirl, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: The Life of a Showgirl, Oct 6 episode | Settled no: The Life of a Showgirl, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: The Life of a Showgirl, Oct 9 episode | Settled yes: The Life of a Showgirl, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: The Life of a Showgirl, Dec 10 episode | Settled yes: The Life of a Showgirl, Dec 11 episode | 2/540% | 2/540% | 44%n=5 from settlement history |
| Cat | Not listed: Cat, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Cat, Oct 6 episode | Settled no: Cat, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Cat, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Cat, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Cat, Dec 10 episode | Settled yes: Cat, Dec 11 episode | 1/520% | 1/520% | 33%n=5 from settlement history |
| Wedding | Not listed: Wedding, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Wedding, Oct 6 episode | Settled no: Wedding, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Wedding, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Wedding, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Wedding, Dec 10 episode | Settled no: Wedding, Dec 11 episode | 1/520% | 1/520% | 22%n=5 from settlement history |
| Grammynever said | Not listed: Grammy, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Grammy, Oct 6 episode | Settled no: Grammy, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Grammy, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Grammy, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Grammy, Dec 10 episode | Settled no: Grammy, Dec 11 episode | 0/50% | 0/50% | 15%n=5 from settlement history |
| Kelcenever said | Settled no: Kelce, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Kelce, Oct 6 episode | Settled no: Kelce, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Kelce, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Kelce, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Kelce, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Kelce, Dec 11 episode | 0/50% | 0/50% | 13%n=5 from settlement history |
| Pregnant / Pregnancynever said | Not listed: Pregnant / Pregnancy, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Pregnant / Pregnancy, Oct 6 episode | Settled no: Pregnant / Pregnancy, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Pregnant / Pregnancy, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Pregnant / Pregnancy, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Pregnant / Pregnancy, Dec 10 episode | Settled no: Pregnant / Pregnancy, Dec 11 episode | 0/50% | 0/50% | 15%n=5 from settlement history |
| Engage / Engaged | Settled yes: Engage / Engaged, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Engage / Engaged, Oct 6 episode | Settled no: Engage / Engaged, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Engage / Engaged, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Engage / Engaged, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Engage / Engaged, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Engage / Engaged, Dec 11 episode | 1/425% | 1/425% | 25%n=4 from settlement history |
| Breakup / Break Upnever said | Settled no: Breakup / Break Up, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Breakup / Break Up, Oct 6 episode | Settled no: Breakup / Break Up, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Breakup / Break Up, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Breakup / Break Up, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Breakup / Break Up, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Breakup / Break Up, Dec 11 episode | 0/40% | 0/40% | 16%n=4 from settlement history |
| Deluxenever said | Not listed: Deluxe, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Deluxe, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Deluxe, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Deluxe, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Deluxe, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Deluxe, Dec 10 episode | Settled no: Deluxe, Dec 11 episode | 0/40% | 0/40% | 16%n=4 from settlement history |
| Eggnever said | Not listed: Egg, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Egg, Oct 6 episode | Settled no: Egg, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Egg, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Egg, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Egg, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Egg, Dec 11 episode | 0/40% | 0/40% | 14%n=4 from settlement history |
| Ringnever said | Not listed: Ring, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Ring, Oct 6 episode | Settled no: Ring, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Ring, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Ring, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Ring, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Ring, Dec 11 episode | 0/40% | 0/40% | 14%n=4 from settlement history |
| Bread | Not listed: Bread, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Not listed: Bread, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Bread, Oct 8 episode | Settled yes: Bread, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Bread, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Bread, Dec 10 episode | Settled yes: Bread, Dec 11 episode | 2/367% | 2/367% | 49%n=3 from settlement history |
| Engagement / Engaged | Settled yes: Engagement / Engaged, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Not listed: Engagement / Engaged, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Engagement / Engaged, Oct 8 episode | Not listed: Engagement / Engaged, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Engagement / Engaged, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Engagement / Engaged, Dec 10 episode | Settled yes: Engagement / Engaged, Dec 11 episode | 2/367% | 2/367% | 48%n=3 from settlement history |
| Super Bowl | Settled yes: Super Bowl, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Super Bowl, Oct 6 episode | Settled no: Super Bowl, Oct 8 episode | Not listed: Super Bowl, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Super Bowl, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Super Bowl, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Super Bowl, Dec 11 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | 24%n=3 from settlement history |
| Bad Bunny | Not listed: Bad Bunny, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Bad Bunny, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Bad Bunny, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Bad Bunny, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Bad Bunny, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Bad Bunny, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Bad Bunny, Dec 11 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 15%n=3 from settlement history |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Settled no: Crypto / Bitcoin, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 8 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 14 interview | Settled no: Crypto / Bitcoin, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Dec 11 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 14%n=3 from settlement history |
| Sabrina / Carpenter | Not listed: Sabrina / Carpenter, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Sabrina / Carpenter, Oct 6 episode | Settled no: Sabrina / Carpenter, Oct 8 episode | Not listed: Sabrina / Carpenter, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Sabrina / Carpenter, Oct 14 interview | Settled no: Sabrina / Carpenter, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Sabrina / Carpenter, Dec 11 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 13%n=3 from settlement history |
| NFL | Not listed: NFL, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: NFL, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: NFL, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: NFL, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: NFL, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: NFL, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: NFL, Dec 11 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 15%n=3 from settlement history |
| Sabrina Carpenter | Not listed: Sabrina Carpenter, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Sabrina Carpenter, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Sabrina Carpenter, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Sabrina Carpenter, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Sabrina Carpenter, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Sabrina Carpenter, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Sabrina Carpenter, Dec 11 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 15%n=3 from settlement history |
| Superbowl / Super Bowl | Not listed: Superbowl / Super Bowl, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Superbowl / Super Bowl, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Superbowl / Super Bowl, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Superbowl / Super Bowl, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Superbowl / Super Bowl, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Superbowl / Super Bowl, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Superbowl / Super Bowl, Dec 11 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 15%n=3 from settlement history |
| Baby | Settled yes: Baby, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Baby, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Baby, Oct 8 episode | Not listed: Baby, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Baby, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Baby, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Baby, Dec 11 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 30%n=2 from settlement history |
| Fan | Not listed: Fan, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Not listed: Fan, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Fan, Oct 8 episode | Not listed: Fan, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Fan, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Fan, Dec 10 episode | Settled yes: Fan, Dec 11 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 42%n=2 from settlement history |
| 22 | Not listed: 22, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: 22, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: 22, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: 22, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: 22, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: 22, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: 22, Dec 11 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 20%n=2 from settlement history |
| Abigail | Not listed: Abigail, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Abigail, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Abigail, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Abigail, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Abigail, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Abigail, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Abigail, Dec 11 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 20%n=2 from settlement history |
| James / Comey | Not listed: James / Comey, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: James / Comey, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: James / Comey, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: James / Comey, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: James / Comey, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: James / Comey, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: James / Comey, Dec 11 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 20%n=2 from settlement history |
| Documentary | Not listed: Documentary, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Not listed: Documentary, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Documentary, Oct 8 episode | Not listed: Documentary, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: Documentary, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Documentary, Dec 10 episode | Settled no: Documentary, Dec 11 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 20%n=2 from settlement history |
| Elon / Musk | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Elon / Musk, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Elon / Musk, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Dec 11 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 20%n=2 from settlement history |
| Midnight | Not listed: Midnight, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Midnight, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Midnight, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Midnight, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Midnight, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Midnight, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Midnight, Dec 11 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 20%n=2 from settlement history |
| New Album | Not listed: New Album, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Not listed: New Album, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: New Album, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: New Album, Oct 9 episode | Settled no: New Album, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: New Album, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: New Album, Dec 11 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 17%n=2 from settlement history |
| Pregnant | Settled no: Pregnant, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Pregnant, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Pregnant, Oct 8 episode | Not listed: Pregnant, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Pregnant, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Pregnant, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Pregnant, Dec 11 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 16%n=2 from settlement history |
| Sydney / Sweeney | Not listed: Sydney / Sweeney, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Settled no: Sydney / Sweeney, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Sydney / Sweeney, Oct 8 episode | Settled no: Sydney / Sweeney, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Sydney / Sweeney, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Sydney / Sweeney, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Sydney / Sweeney, Dec 11 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 20%n=2 from settlement history |
| Album | Settled yes: Album, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Not listed: Album, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Album, Oct 8 episode | Not listed: Album, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Album, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Album, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Album, Dec 11 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Album5+ times | Settled yes: Album 5+ times, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Not listed: Album 5+ times, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Album 5+ times, Oct 8 episode | Not listed: Album 5+ times, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Album 5+ times, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Album 5+ times, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Album 5+ times, Dec 11 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Eras Tour | Settled yes: Eras Tour, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Not listed: Eras Tour, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Eras Tour, Oct 8 episode | Not listed: Eras Tour, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Eras Tour, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Eras Tour, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Eras Tour, Dec 11 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Eras / Tour10+ times | Not listed: Eras / Tour 10+ times, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Not listed: Eras / Tour 10+ times, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Eras / Tour 10+ times, Oct 8 episode | Not listed: Eras / Tour 10+ times, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Eras / Tour 10+ times, Oct 14 interview | Settled yes: Eras / Tour 10+ times, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Eras / Tour 10+ times, Dec 11 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Settled yes: Instagram, Aug 13 ’25 episode | Not listed: Instagram, Oct 6 episode | Not listed: Instagram, Oct 8 episode | Not listed: Instagram, Oct 9 episode | Not listed: Instagram, Oct 14 interview | Not listed: Instagram, Dec 10 episode | Not listed: Instagram, Dec 11 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 7Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Taylor Swift say during The Late Show with Stephen Colbert? | no transcript | 14 | 7 yes · 7 no | – |
| Dec 10, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Taylor Swift say on The Late Show on December 10? | no transcript | 10 | 2 yes · 8 no | – |
| Oct 14, 2025 | InterviewWhat will Taylor Swift say during Good Morning America? | no transcript | 24 | 3 yes · 21 no | – |
| Oct 9, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Taylor Swift say during Late Night With Seth Meyers? | no transcript | 27 | 3 yes · 24 no | – |
| Oct 8, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Taylor Swift say during Late Night with Seth Meyers? | no transcript | 17 | 2 yes · 15 no | – |
| Oct 6, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Taylor Swift say during The Tonight Show? | no transcript | 45 | 6 yes · 39 no | – |
| Aug 13, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Taylor Swift say during the New Heights Show? | no transcript | 40 | 25 yes · 15 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Taylor Swift: mention market word history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/taylor-swift (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/taylor-swift · words: /api/v1/history?entity=taylor-swift · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP